Harvard
W-L: ( 6- 9) PR = 88.8023Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 215 H Notre Dame ACC (12- 6, 93.4) 7-10 218 A Bryant America Eas (10- 7, 83.6) 18- 8 221 A Albany America Eas (12- 6, 84.2) 12-13 228 H Dartmouth Ivy League ( 8- 7, 90.2) 10-17 307 H Princeton Ivy League (11- 7, 92.6) 13-19 312 A Boston College ACC (10- 8, 92.7) 5-15 317 A Duke ACC ( 9- 8, 91.0) 14-12 324 H Holy Cross Patriot ( 7-10, 83.6) 17- 9 328 H Brown Ivy League ( 8- 7, 89.2) 12- 9 404 A Penn Ivy League ( 8- 8, 89.1) 8-10 407 A New Hampshire America Eas ( 4-12, 75.9) 20- 6 411 H Cornell Ivy League ( 9- 6, 90.7) 11-13 418 A Yale Ivy League (13- 5, 91.9) 13-14 421 A Connecticut Big East ( 7-10, 85.3) 19-12 425 A Columbia Ivy League ( 7- 8, 83.4) 10-11
PREDICTION LIST
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|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
215 H Notre Dame 7-10 -3 -3 0.21
218 A Bryant 18- 8 10 4 +++ 6.19
221 A Albany 12-13 -1 3 -- -4.22
228 H Dartmouth 10-17 -7 0 --- -6.94
307 H Princeton 13-19 -6 -2 - -3.54
312 A Boston College 5-15 -10 -5 -- -4.71
317 A Duke 14-12 2 -4 ++ 5.53
324 H Holy Cross 17- 9 8 7 1.44
328 H Brown 12- 9 3 1 + 2.04
404 A Penn 8-10 -2 -2 -0.30
407 A New Hampshire 20- 6 14 12 + 2.43
411 H Cornell 11-13 -2 -1 -1.42
418 A Yale 13-14 -1 -4 + 3.46
421 A Connecticut 19-12 7 2 ++ 4.87
425 A Columbia 10-11 -1 4 -- -5.05
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 228 H Dartmouth 10-17 -7 0 --- -6.94 221 A Albany 12-13 -1 3 -- -4.22 312 A Boston College 5-15 -10 -5 -- -4.71 425 A Columbia 10-11 -1 4 -- -5.05 307 H Princeton 13-19 -6 -2 - -3.54 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 218 A Bryant 18- 8 10 4 +++ 6.19 317 A Duke 14-12 2 -4 ++ 5.53 421 A Connecticut 19-12 7 2 ++ 4.87 328 H Brown 12- 9 3 1 + 2.04 407 A New Hampshire 20- 6 14 12 + 2.43 418 A Yale 13-14 -1 -4 + 3.46 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 17.32
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H Notre Dame (12- 6, 93.4) 7-10 -6.52 33.65 -1.37 1.15 -4.56
3 A Bryant (10- 7, 83.6) 18- 8 -16.28 23.89 1.37 1.15 58.34
3 A Albany (12- 6, 84.2) 12-13 -15.69 24.48 1.37 1.15 -8.27
3 H Dartmouth ( 8- 7, 90.2) 10-17 -9.67 30.50 -1.37 1.15 -6.37
3 H Princeton (11- 7, 92.6) 13-19 -7.27 32.90 -1.37 1.15 -4.99
3 A Boston College (10- 8, 92.7) 5-15 -7.17 33.00 1.37 1.15 -3.35
3 A Duke ( 9- 8, 91.0) 14-12 -8.94 31.23 1.37 1.15 75.30
3 H Holy Cross ( 7-10, 83.6) 17- 9 -16.29 23.88 -1.37 1.15 52.00
3 H Brown ( 8- 7, 89.2) 12- 9 -10.69 29.48 -1.37 1.15 64.92
3 A Penn ( 8- 8, 89.1) 8-10 -10.76 29.40 1.37 1.15 -5.43
3 A New Hampshire ( 4-12, 75.9) 20- 6 -24.04 16.13 1.37 1.15 40.41
3 H Cornell ( 9- 6, 90.7) 11-13 -9.15 31.02 -1.37 1.15 -6.07
3 A Yale (13- 5, 91.9) 13-14 -8.00 32.17 1.37 1.15 -3.83
3 A Connecticut ( 7-10, 85.3) 19-12 -14.59 25.58 1.37 1.15 62.24
3 A Columbia ( 7- 8, 83.4) 10-11 -16.51 23.66 1.37 1.15 -8.74
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301.60
|
winning pts = 353.2060 losing points = -51.6101
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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